Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 23.600563 27.313507 31.351062 36.058735 41.387613 47.222922 54.086761
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 16.729849 21.662453 27.566126 35.109612 44.444636 55.566607 69.764674
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 13.044761 18.474473 25.483665 35.097208 47.826462 63.975999 85.866132
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 10.689490 16.332031 24.092565 35.377477 51.164207 72.226863 102.163443
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.310176 13.636502 21.408202 33.334024 50.871371 75.350743 111.639910
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.311034 12.744888 21.077080 34.446985 54.930113 84.589492 130.073282
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.669715 12.277531 21.266640 36.272017 60.100890 95.721675 151.966756
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.615771 10.942566 19.883429 35.426622 61.028060 100.549303 164.807738
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.615316 9.522183 18.145122 33.748896 60.385658 102.808871 173.760654
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.385828 9.463035 18.709733 35.967795 66.245556 115.624733 199.989711
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.325236 9.711093 19.834418 39.248380 74.130425 132.199873 233.253687
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.896097 9.157542 19.410774 39.689750 77.120319 140.886882 254.158932
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.366527 8.342796 18.450729 39.156726 78.556119 147.438489 272.639183
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.846194 7.459574 17.247458 38.044473 78.880492 152.197725 288.616918
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.502257 6.907949 16.637697 38.013101 81.197284 160.608054 311.496371
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.232641 6.478697 16.221091 38.310431 84.145549 170.333283 337.316954
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.822930 5.613121 14.710903 36.115214 81.929968 170.328925 345.470309
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.691879 5.447107 14.769508 37.310421 86.671969 183.725201 379.166094
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.617485 5.421511 15.154673 39.269884 93.158830 200.889946 420.958975
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.395670 4.929308 14.330225 38.362294 93.469086 205.982413 440.011534
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.163146 4.349042 13.189767 36.560659 91.644161 206.649076 450.460895
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.140677 4.418504 13.753641 38.943293 99.314273 227.074170 501.057262
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.161829 4.634250 14.737710 42.463937 109.828886 253.969584 565.983498